MSNBC Host and Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki explains that when voting begins with the primaries and caucuses scheduled for February 2020 and leading into Super Tuesday, the field of Democratic candidates will thin out, and a picture of the potential nominee could emerge.
How February 2020 Will Shape the Democratic Primary
STEVE KORNACKI, reporting:
Well, here it is. This is the month to start looking at on your calendar. February 2020. That’s when all the talk ends and the voting begins. And that massive, gigantic, enormous Democratic presidential field, it gets thinned down and maybe by the end of that month we’ll even have a pretty good sense who the nominee’s going to be. You know, Iowa, always in that lead-off position. The Iowa caucuses, there it is. Monday, February 3 the race begins in Iowa and then traditionally it is an eight-day stretch from Iowa to New Hampshire. First caucus is in Iowa, first primary in New Hampshire eight days later. So, you can expect however many candidates are left when they get to the starting line in Iowa, there’s probably going to be far fewer eight days later. Between Iowa and New Hampshire, you can expect a lot of winnowing to take place. You’ll have some clear candidates who are out in front as well. The next stop, this is a new one on the Democratic, a relatively new one, only the last couple cycles, Nevada. Caucuses in Nevada, that’s the next one. And then the big one, obviously, the South Carolina primary, the first in the south primary at the end of the month, and of course South Carolina very important because this is the first state where you’re going to have a really substantial black population voting. Sixty percent, more than 60% of the Democratic electorate in the 2016 South Carolina primary was African American. So, a key test there. Four individual contests. We’ll talk only about these states the nights they come in. That’s going to be February, but then flip the calendar. From the last day of February, look at this. Go into March. Just a couple days later, Super Tuesday. Super Tuesday, let me give you a sense what that looks like. Massive. Enormous. You go from one contest at a time all in the same. You got California, you got Texas, you got a bunch in the South. You got Massachusetts, Minnesota, all of these states, all at once. So, February’s going to produce some clarity in terms of who’s a contender. Super Tuesday, mega primary. That could give us some real answers potentially in early March.
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